Matthew Simmons este un personaj cheie. Este membru in consiliul energetic al administratiei Bush, a facut parte din grupul pentru studiul energiei al vicepresdintelui Cheney in 2001 si este membu al Consiliului pentru Afaceri Externe. Este presedintele firmei de investitii bancare Simmons & Co International cu un portofoliu de investitii de aproximativ 56 miliarde dolari.
Printre geologi este cunoscut pentru doua lucruri aparent contradictorii: Este un fervent sustinator a lui George W. Bush si in acelasi timp singurul personaj oficial care vorbeste deschis despre declinul petrolului si al gazelor naturale.
Matthew Simmons is the CEO of the world's largest Energy Investment Bank, Simmons & Company International . Its clients include Halliburton; Baker, Botts, LLP; Dynegy; Kerr-McGee; and the World Bank. Since 1993, it has underwritten or financed 18 transactions valued at more than $350 million. Of those, six were valued at more than $1 billion. Simmons is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and serves on the National Petroleum Council's Natural Gas Task Force. He has a lot to say about the Northeast power grid blackout, its causes, and what they imply for the future. He also has a lot to say about Peak Oil and Gas.
The situation is so dire that George W. Bush's Energy Adviser, Matthew Simmons, has acknowledged that "The situation is desperate. This is the world's biggest serious question." In an August 2003 interview, Mr. Simmons was asked if it was time for Peak Oil to become part of the public policy debate. He responded:
"It is past time. As I have said, the experts and politicians have no Plan B to fall back on. If energy peaks, particularly while 5 of the world’s 6.5 billion people have little or no use of modern energy, it will be a tremendous jolt to our economic well-being and to our heath - greater than anyone could ever imagine."
When asked if there is a solution, Simmons responded:
"I don’t think there is one. The solution is to pray. Under the best of circumstances, if all prayers are answered there will be no crisis for maybe two years. After that it’s a certainty."
It's not just Simmons sounding the alarm. According to Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham:
"America faces a major energy supply crisis over the next two decades. The failure to meet this challenge will threaten our nation's economic prosperity, compromise our national security, and literally alter the way we lead our lives."
The statements of Vice President Dick Cheney have been equally alarming. In late 1999, Cheney stated:
“By some estimates, there will be an average of two percent annual growth in global oil demand over the years ahead, along with, conservatively, a three-percent natural decline in production from existing reserves.”
Cheney ended on a disturbing note, “That means by 2010 we will need on the order of an additional 50 million barrels a day.”
“The most significant difference between now and a decade ago is the extraordinarily rapid erosion of spare capacities at critical segments of energy chains. Today, shortfalls appear to be endemic. Among the most extraordinary of these losses of spare capacity is in the oil arena.”
Presentation Calculating Oil & Gas Reserves: An Art Form Or A Science?
Presentation The Story Of Natural Gas: Supply, Demand, And A Brick Wall
Presentation The Saudi Arabian Oil Miracle
Presentation Outlook 2004: Easy Questions...Hard Answers
Presentation Our Energy Problems Are Serious
Presentation The Future Of Energy
Pagina web a lui Matthew Simmons
Iata câteva din documentele lui Simmons:
Productia fabuloasa a cāmpului petrolifer Ghawar (cel mai mare din lume- Arabia Saudita)
Ghawar este cel mai mare cāmp petrolifer din lume cu o productie de aproximativ 5 milioane de barili / zi.
Acest cāmp are 60 de ani. In 1975 estimarile ( Exxon, Mobil, Chevron si Texaco) pentru cantitatea aflata acolo mergeau pāna la 60 miliarde de barili. Productia cumulativa pāna in 2003: 55 miliarde barili. Firma Saudi ARAMCO sustine acum ca mai exista inca 125 de miliarde barili in Ghawar. Oare cāt de rau au gresit Exxon, Mobil, Chevron si Texaco in 1975? Vom afla in cātiva ani.
"Trust Me" Era Is Over "Trust Me" Era Is Over
n Shell’s stunning proven reserve write-down was a wakeup
n Most of world’s "proven reserves" are simply "statements".
n Some of the "statements" have to be wrong.
n The majority of the public E&P companies might have
n Finding and development costs have doubled.
n Daily BOE production is flattening out.
n "Trust Me" was fine when world’s oil supply was young.
n The world’s oil supply is now extremely mature.
When You Are Interviewed by Mainstream Media, Do You Try to Tell Them About Oil Peak and Decline?" http://ram.globalpublicmedia.com/RAM/2003/02/MattSimmons.Q2.01-2.2003-02-10.ram Atentie fisiere video 10 Mb Real Media
How Did We Get Into the Current Situation?"
How Did You Come to Be an Advocate for Oil Peak and Decline?" http://ram.globalpublicmedia.com/RAM/2003/02/MattSimmons.Q6.01-6.2003-02-10.ram